“But if the number of mistakenly-identified UAPs is comparable to the number that we’re actually seeing, then we’re done - then none of them are likely, legit, and it’s probably just a sequence of errors.” If sightings of anomalies that ultimately prove to have other explanations happen “once a century, UAPs are really interesting because the recent sightings are way above baseline,” Kipping said. Kipping explained that even in a world without alien visits, pilots will still see unexplained phenomena sometimes - some of which they will report, and some (presumably smaller) portion of which will remain unexplained.Īnd without understanding how common the “anomalous phenomena” reported by pilots are, and how often they turn out to truly be unexplainable, we can’t really know how significant the Pentagon’s leaked videos really are. This, he noted, is why UFO sightings are a largely American phenomenon - in the U.K., where he comes from, people are more likely to think the anomaly they saw was a ghost. Kipping’s point is that some amount of mistaken identity is a constant feature of human life, and that when people encounter unexplained phenomena, they tend to slot it into culturally familiar categories.
The broader problem with all eyewitness UAP accounts - even those from the military - is that “we have no idea what the false alarm rate is,” said Kipping of Columbia. It could be fabricated or it could be that some sections developed special weapons that they don’t want us to think the U.S. “You are a politician.”īut it’s also possible, Loeb conceded, that Grusch is wrong - that he is lying or was himself misled, possibly in an attempt to cover up secret (but very human) weapons programs. “If you do this, then you are not a true scientist,” he said. You can turn it into a matter of national security - ‘let’s have an advantage compared to other nations’ - but this is completely inappropriate.”
“If there are really objects from beyond earth, they should be shared by all humans. If the military does have such data, they need to release it, said Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb. Gruch’s claims, Spergel said, offer “no locations, no sites. “There’s nothing hard there,” David Spergel, an astrophysicist and the head of NASA’s internal advisory team on UAP.
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